
U.S. stock futures were higher on Friday, as the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices rose, following Thursday’s mixed close.
The U.S. Treasury Department sanctioned 17 vessels targeting Iran’s shadow fleet to choke off Tehran’s oil revenue. The move adds another layer of uncertainty to an already tight global oil market, with Scott Bessent saying that the U.S. Treasury is “starving the tyrannical regime in Tehran of the money it uses to wage war in the region, and we will continue exposing those who enable the regime’s oil sales. No enabler of Iranian sanctions evasion is safe from the full force of Treasury’s authorities.”
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 5.24%, and the 2-year Treasury bond yielded 4.78%, at the last check. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool projections show markets pricing in a 19.4% likelihood of the Federal Reserve hiking interest rates after its October meeting.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | 0.20% |
| S&P 500 | 0.43% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.83% |
| Russell 2000 | 0.42% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, were higher in premarket trading on Friday. The SPY rose by 0.45% at $777.38, while the QQQ advanced 0.85% to $753.92.
Sectors on the S&P 500 mostly closed higher, led by top gains in energy, consumer staples, and financials on Thursday, while info tech and consumer discretionary lagged.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | 0.10% | 51,231.64 |
| S&P 500 | -0.47% | 7,765.36 |
| Nasdaq Composite | -1.25% | 27,193.34 |
| Russell 2000 | 0.033% | 2,794.13 |
Mason Mendez, Global Real Assets Analyst at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, maintains a constructive outlook on U.S. large-cap equities.
He attributes market strength to solid economic growth and an unprecedented artificial intelligence investment cycle, which together support double-digit earnings growth forecasts for the S&P 500 Index in 2026.
Mendez notes that the forces lifting equities are simultaneously keeping Treasury yields elevated, as robust business activity, strong consumer spending, and infrastructure demand increase the competition for capital and resources. He explains that “strong growth and the AI (artificial intelligence) investment boom have helped lift equities—but they may also be keeping Treasury yields higher for longer.”
While acknowledging that higher rates and policy uncertainty could generate near-term market volatility, Mendez emphasizes that this setup broadens opportunity. “While higher rates may increase market volatility, they also create a broader opportunity set for investors,” he highlights.
Ultimately, he believes economic resilience and AI spending provide a supportive backdrop for U.S. equities, while higher yields generate stronger future returns for bond investors and commodities offer an attractive hedge.
Here’s what investors will be keeping an eye on Friday.
Crude Oil WTI futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 1.40% to hover around $90.20 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar rose 1.32% to hover around $4,188.04 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.08% lower at the 102.0590 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 0.30% lower at $82,608.20 per coin over the last 24 hours.
Asian markets traded mixed on Friday, as Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index, China’s CSI 30, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200, and India’s Nifty 50 indices rose, while South Korea’s Kospi and Japan’s Nikkei 225 indices dropped. European markets were mostly higher in early trading.
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