CF Industries Holdings (CF) has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.60 per share, payable on November 30, 2026, to shareholders of record as of November 16, 2026.
CF Industries Holdings has had a mixed price pattern in recent weeks, with the share price down 15.45% over the past month and 2.86% over 90 days, yet still up 41.74% on a year to date share price return and delivering a 30.83% total shareholder return over the past year as momentum cools from earlier strength.
Spot under-pressure yield stories like CF Industries Holdings, and compare them with hand-picked income ideas in the 8 dividend fortresses.CF Industries Holdings now trades at a clear discount to both analyst targets and estimated fair value after that sharp recent pullback. Is the market prudently fading earnings risk, or mispricing a still cash-rich nitrogen producer?
Most Popular Narrative: 9.3% Undervalued
On the most followed narrative, CF Industries Holdings screens as undervalued, with a fair value estimate of $125.25 against a last close of $113.58. This puts the recent pullback against a backdrop of still robust cash generation in the nitrogen chain.
The main thing that has to go right is that CF Industries Holdings continues to convert its low cost position, decarbonization projects, and capital returns into durable cash generation without fixed cost creep, project delays, or changes to incentives eroding the benefit of buybacks and low carbon ammonia premiums.
See why 31 investors see CF Industries Holdings as 9% undervalued.
Result: Fair Value of $125.25 (UNDERVALUED)
Still, if nitrogen pricing retreats faster than analysts expect or if project costs and delays escalate, the current CF Industries Holdings valuation case could unravel quickly.
Find out about the key risks to this CF Industries Holdings narrative.
Next Steps
Mixed views like this often create the most interesting setups, so move quickly to review the full picture and weigh the balance of risk and upside yourself by checking out the 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.
Looking for more CF Industries Holdings style investment ideas?
If you only stop at CF Industries Holdings, you risk missing opportunities that better match your goals and risk tolerance, so cast the net wider with these targeted stock lists.
- Target dependable income streams by reviewing the 8 dividend fortresses built to highlight cash returns supported by underlying business strength.
- Hunt for potential pricing gaps by working through the 27 high quality undervalued stocks that filters for quality businesses trading below estimated worth.
- Secure more sleep-at-night holdings by scanning the 31 resilient stocks with low risk scores focused on resilience and stronger financial footing.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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