Ross Stores (ROST) has drawn investor attention after recent trading left the stock down about 8% over the past month, even as its past 3 months and 1 year total returns remain positive.
See our latest analysis for Ross Stores.
The recent pullback, including a 1-day share price return of down 5.89% and a 7-day share price return of down 7.59%, contrasts with Ross Stores’ year-to-date share price return of 17.72% and a 1-year total shareholder return of 71.44%. This suggests momentum has cooled after a strong run.
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So, with Ross Stores reporting annual revenue of US$23.8b and net income of US$2.3b, and the stock recently pulling back after a strong 1-year run, are you looking at a fresh entry point or a market that is already pricing in future growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 16% Undervalued
Ross Stores last closed at $215.13, while the most followed narrative anchors fair value around $256, framing the recent pullback against a higher long term estimate.
The analysts have a consensus price target of $256.18 for Ross Stores based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $290.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $176.0.
Want to know what sits behind that valuation gap for Ross Stores? The narrative leans on measured revenue growth, firming margins, and a premium earnings multiple that relies on those cash flow assumptions holding up.
Result: Fair Value of $256.18 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, Ross Stores still faces pressure from tariffs and distribution costs, as well as the risk that ongoing store expansion could strain margins and same store sales.
Find out about the key risks to this Ross Stores narrative.
Another View: Ross Stores Through the P/E Lens
While the Ross Stores narrative points to a fair value of $256.18, the current P/E of 29.8x sits well above the US Specialty Retail industry at 20.1x, peers at 20.6x, and an estimated fair ratio of 20.5x. That premium raises a simple question: how much optimism are you willing to pay for?
To see how that valuation gap looks in practice and what the numbers imply for risk and reward, take a closer look at the See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
Next Steps
Seeing mixed signals on Ross Stores and wondering which side carries more weight for you? Take a moment to weigh the positives against the concerns and decide how they stack up with 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign
Looking for more investment ideas beyond Ross Stores?
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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