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To own Bristol Myers Squibb today, you need to believe its newer oncology and cardiovascular drugs can gradually offset pressure from looming patent expiries and drug pricing headwinds. The new EU frontline Opdivo approval in advanced Hodgkin lymphoma reinforces that story but does not change the biggest near term risk, which is how sharply revenues could fall once core products like Eliquis and Opdivo lose exclusivity.
The most connected recent development is the FDA’s Priority Review of Camzyos for adolescents with obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Together with Opdivo’s expanded Hodgkin lymphoma use in younger patients, it underscores how Bristol Myers Squibb is pushing key brands into earlier disease settings and broader age groups, which could be important for softening the impact of future patent cliffs and pricing pressure.
Yet, beneath these approvals, investors should still be watching how upcoming loss of exclusivity and tighter pricing rules could...
Read the full narrative on Bristol-Myers Squibb (it's free!)
Bristol-Myers Squibb's narrative projects $40.1 billion revenue and $8.6 billion earnings by 2029. This requires a 6.2% yearly revenue decline and an earnings increase of about $1.3 billion from $7.3 billion today.
Uncover how Bristol-Myers Squibb's forecasts yield a $62.96 fair value, a 16% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were assuming revenues would shrink to about US$37.4 billion by 2029 even before this Opdivo news, so if you are worried about execution risk in the pipeline you might find their more cautious narrative, which puts much more weight on harsh patent cliffs and pricing pressure, an important counterpoint to the view that new approvals like Opdivo plus AVD and Camzyos label expansions will be enough to fill the gap.
Explore 10 other fair value estimates on Bristol-Myers Squibb - why the stock might be worth 13% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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