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To own Century Aluminum, you have to believe in its ability to translate U.S. capacity growth, tariff support and tax credits into durable profitability, while managing volatile power and input costs. Chaffin’s promotion is directionally aligned with that story, but on its own it does not materially change the near term focus on executing Mt. Holly’s restart and controlling energy costs, or the key risk of policy shifts affecting Section 232 tariffs and Section 45X credits.
Against that backdrop, the January 2026 joint development agreement with Emirates Global Aluminium for a new 750,000 tonne U.S. smelter stands out as the announcement most closely tied to Chaffin’s expanded role. If Century is going to add meaningful new volume through Mt. Holly and the Oklahoma project, having an operations focused leader over the Americas could matter for how effectively those assets are brought on line and run over time.
Yet while expansion plans look appealing, investors should also be aware that Century’s reliance on Section 232 tariffs and Section 45X tax credits could...
Read the full narrative on Century Aluminum (it's free!)
Century Aluminum's narrative projects $3.4 billion revenue and $1.0 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 10.8% yearly revenue growth and a $960.0 million earnings increase from $40.0 million today.
Uncover how Century Aluminum's forecasts yield a $66.00 fair value, a 24% upside to its current price.
Some analysts were already assuming revenue near US$3.7 billion and earnings around US$930.0 million by 2029, a far more optimistic path than consensus, and Chaffin’s promotion could eventually shape how realistic that looks.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Century Aluminum - why the stock might be worth over 4x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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