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To own State Street, you need to believe it can stay essential to global asset managers by scaling its servicing, technology and ETF infrastructure while managing fee pressure, interest rate sensitivity and rising regulatory and tech competition. The Dimensional ETF share class mandate and Susan Gordon’s appointment slightly reinforce the near term catalyst of deepening end to end servicing relationships but do not fundamentally change the key risk around disruption from new technologies like blockchain.
Among recent announcements, State Street’s launch of its Digital Asset Platform in January 2026 looks especially relevant. While the Dimensional mandate underscores the strength of its traditional ETF servicing franchise, the digital platform shows how State Street is trying to position itself for tokenized funds, deposits and stablecoins, which ties directly back to both the opportunity in new asset structures and the longer term risk of blockchain eroding legacy custody revenue.
But while this all sounds encouraging, investors should also be aware that...
Read the full narrative on State Street (it's free!)
State Street's narrative projects $14.7 billion revenue and $3.5 billion earnings by 2028.
Uncover how State Street's forecasts yield a $144.30 fair value, a 18% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were expecting revenue of about US$14.2 billion and earnings of roughly US$2.9 billion by 2028, highlighting a much more cautious view than consensus. Against the backdrop of Dimensional’s innovative ETF share class win and concerns about non U.S. rate sensitivity, this spread of opinion shows how differently you and other investors might interpret State Street’s trajectory and why it can be worth weighing several competing narratives before you decide what to believe.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on State Street - why the stock might be worth as much as 39% more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
Early movers are already taking notice. See the stocks they're targeting before they've flown the coop:
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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