- If you are wondering whether United States Antimony at US$8.94 still offers value after a big run, this breakdown is designed to help you frame that question clearly.
- The stock shows a 300.9% return over the last year and a very large 3 year gain of 2,267.6%. At the same time, the 7 day return of an 18.6% decline and the 30 day return of 21.0% highlight recent volatility on top of a 50.8% year to date move.
- This price action has drawn more attention to United States Antimony, with investors looking more closely at what might be driving sentiment and how that lines up with fundamentals. Recent coverage has focused on the scale of the share price moves and the question of whether current expectations leave much room for error.
- Despite these returns, the company scores just 1 out of 6 on our valuation checks. The next sections will break down what different methods say about fair value and then finish with one approach that can help you put all of those signals into a single, clearer picture.
United States Antimony scores just 1/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.
Approach 1: United States Antimony Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model looks at the cash United States Antimony might generate in the future and then discounts those projections back to what they could be worth in today’s dollars.
For United States Antimony, the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model starts from last twelve month free cash flow of a loss of $28.27 million. Analysts provide specific free cash flow estimates up to 2030, such as $3.95 million in 2026 and $76 million in 2030, and Simply Wall St extrapolates further years. These projected cash flows are then discounted using a required return to arrive at a present value stream.
Adding those discounted cash flows gives an estimated intrinsic value of about $8.55 per share. Compared with the current share price of US$8.94, the model suggests the stock is around 4.6% overvalued. This is a relatively small gap and can easily be swayed by changes in assumptions such as growth or discount rates.
Result: ABOUT RIGHT
United States Antimony is fairly valued according to our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), but this can change at a moment's notice. Track the value in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted on when to act.
Approach 2: United States Antimony Price vs Sales
For companies where earnings are less useful, the P/S ratio is often a practical way to think about value because it compares what you pay for each dollar of revenue, not profit, which can swing around more.
What investors usually look for is how much growth and risk might justify paying a certain P/S. Higher expected growth and lower perceived risk can support a higher multiple, while slower growth or higher risk tends to pull a “normal” P/S lower.
United States Antimony currently trades on a P/S of 32.62x. That is well above the Metals and Mining industry average of 2.80x and also above the peer group average of 5.58x. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for the company is 5.40x, which is the P/S level suggested by its mix of earnings growth assumptions, margins, size, industry and risk profile.
This Fair Ratio is more tailored than a straight comparison to peers or the industry, because it adjusts for factors like growth expectations, profitability, risk and market cap rather than assuming one size fits all.
Set against the Fair Ratio of 5.40x, the current 32.62x P/S indicates that the shares are trading at a premium.
Result: OVERVALUED
P/S ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 20 top founder-led companies.
Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your United States Antimony Narrative
Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so Narratives are introduced here as a simple way for you to attach a clear story and set of assumptions to the numbers. This links what you think about United States Antimony’s business drivers to a forecast for revenue, earnings and margins, and then to a fair value that can be compared with today’s price on Simply Wall St’s Community page. Narratives are updated automatically when fresh news or earnings arrive. One investor might build a bullish United States Antimony view around a Fair Value of about $13.50, while another might anchor on a lower figure near $4.92. This gives you a quick, side by side sense of how different perspectives on the same company translate into different buy or sell decisions.
Do you think there's more to the story for United States Antimony? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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