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To own Comfort Systems USA, you need to be comfortable with a company that is riding a surge in non‑residential demand while trading on a rich earnings multiple. The recent news around S&P 500 inclusion, strong operating results, rapid dividend growth and acquisitions tied to AI infrastructure and healthcare all reinforce the current bull narrative and could amplify short term catalysts such as index-driven buying and confidence in its multi‑year, multi‑billion dollar backlog. At the same time, that backdrop raises the stakes: expectations are already high, insider selling has picked up, and the shares still screen as expensive versus the wider construction industry. If growth in data centers, healthcare and other complex projects slows or margins compress, today’s premium could come under pressure faster than many new shareholders might expect.
However, one risk stands out that many new shareholders may be underestimating. Despite retreating, Comfort Systems USA's shares might still be trading 24% above their fair value. Discover the potential downside here.Explore 11 other fair value estimates on Comfort Systems USA - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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