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To own Fair Isaac, you need to believe its core FICO Scores and decisioning software will stay embedded in lenders’ workflows while the company steadily deepens those relationships with higher‑value analytics. The latest quarter, with higher revenue and net income year on year and guidance reaffirmed, supports that steady execution story without really changing the near term catalysts, which still center on uptake of FICO Platform and newer models like Score 10T. The Tech Mahindra partnership looks more material: by creating a global FICO Platform Centre of Excellence, it could help shorten sales and implementation cycles, a key swing factor when the shares already trade on a rich earnings multiple and have pulled back over the past year. At the same time, high leverage, significant insider selling, and premium valuation remain front‑of‑mind risks.
However, one key risk around debt levels and valuation deserves closer attention from shareholders. Despite retreating, Fair Isaac's shares might still be trading above their fair value and there could be some more downside. Discover how much.Sixteen fair value views from the Simply Wall St Community span about US$1,298 to US$2,200 per share, underscoring how far apart investors can be. Set against this, the rich earnings multiple, high debt load, and reliance on continued adoption of FICO Platform and Score 10T give you plenty of reasons to weigh both optimism and caution before deciding how Fair Isaac might fit into your portfolio.
Explore 16 other fair value estimates on Fair Isaac - why the stock might be worth as much as 52% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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