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To own Check Point today, you really need to believe in a prevention-first cybersecurity vendor that pairs high margins and strong cash generation with relatively modest growth expectations. The upcoming Q4 2025 results and ongoing buybacks remain the key near term catalysts, especially with the share price sitting below the consensus analyst target and after a double digit 1 year total return decline. The new NASCAR partnership and the Exposure Management launch mainly reinforce brand and product positioning in high-performance, data-heavy environments, rather than shifting the financial picture in the short run. They do, however, speak directly to rising AI-driven threats highlighted in Check Point’s latest Cyber Security Report, which could influence long-term demand. The biggest current risks still look tied to slower growth versus peers, execution by a relatively new management team, and intense competition in core security segments.
However, one risk around Check Point’s slower growth profile may surprise some investors. Check Point Software Technologies' share price has been on the slide but might be up to 7% below fair value. Find out if it's a bargain.Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Check Point Software Technologies - why the stock might be worth 40% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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