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For Boston Beer, the big picture you need to believe in is that brands like Twisted Tea, Truly and Samuel Adams can justify a premium valuation despite modest revenue growth expectations, uneven past returns and a low double digit return on equity. The new 8% Twisted Tea Extreme variety pack and TeaPot Blueberry Chamomile launches fit neatly into the existing thesis: Boston Beer is leaning into flavored, high-ABV and regulated cannabis beverages to stay relevant as drinkers fragment across categories. These moves could modestly sharpen near term catalysts by adding incremental volume and mix opportunities in convenience and Canadian cannabis channels, but based on recent share price moves and prior guidance, they do not fundamentally change the risk that revenue growth remains slower than the broader US market or that execution missteps in innovation could weigh on already full earnings multiples.
However, investors should be aware that slower forecast revenue growth remains a key tension here.Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Boston Beer Company - why the stock might be worth as much as 44% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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