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To own Illinois Tool Works, you need to believe its high-margin, cash-generative model can offset slow organic growth and pressured end markets. The latest insider purchase and reaffirmed GAAP EPS guidance of US$10.40–US$10.50 reinforce the near term profit story, but do not materially change the key short term catalyst, which remains execution of Enterprise Initiatives, or the biggest risk, which is ongoing weakness in organic growth across several segments.
The most relevant recent development here is ITW’s record 27.4% operating margin, supported by its Enterprise Initiatives program. That margin strength sits in sharp contrast to declining revenues in areas like Test & Measurement and Electronics, and it provides the foundation for management’s confidence that cost and productivity gains can partially counterbalance soft organic demand while investors wait to see whether growth can re-accelerate.
Yet, despite this margin resilience, investors should also be aware of the pressure that continued organic growth declines could place on...
Read the full narrative on Illinois Tool Works (it's free!)
Illinois Tool Works' narrative projects $17.6 billion revenue and $3.6 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 3.7% yearly revenue growth and about a $0.2 billion earnings increase from $3.4 billion today.
Uncover how Illinois Tool Works' forecasts yield a $261.00 fair value, in line with its current price.
Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range widely, from about US$261 up to roughly US$574, underscoring just how far apart individual expectations can be. Set that against the current focus on margin expansion via Enterprise Initiatives and you can see why many readers may want to compare several viewpoints before deciding how sustainable ITW’s performance really is.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Illinois Tool Works - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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