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To own ATI, you need to believe in its position as a high value alloys supplier to aerospace and defense, and its ability to earn attractive returns on large, ongoing capital investments. The CFO transition to Rob Foster does not appear to change the near term focus on executing long term Boeing and Airbus contracts, nor does it materially reduce key risks such as heavy capex needs and exposure to weaker industrial and medical demand.
Among recent announcements, ATI’s expanded long term titanium products agreement with Boeing stands out as most relevant, because Foster has managed both the Specialty Alloys & Components business and ATI’s capital deployment processes that support these contracts. His background ties directly into the main catalyst of reliably supplying next generation aerospace programs while trying to protect margins and cash generation in the face of high ongoing investment requirements.
But investors should still pay close attention to ATI’s heavy capital spending needs and what that could mean for...
Read the full narrative on ATI (it's free!)
ATI's narrative projects $5.5 billion revenue and $635.6 million earnings by 2028. This requires 6.7% yearly revenue growth and a $218.1 million earnings increase from $417.5 million today.
Uncover how ATI's forecasts yield a $118.25 fair value, a 13% upside to its current price.
Five members of the Simply Wall St Community value ATI between US$62.68 and US$118.25 per share, highlighting very different expectations. Against this, ATI’s dependence on significant capex for capacity and upgrades could influence how sustainable any perceived upside really is, so it is worth comparing several of these viewpoints side by side.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on ATI - why the stock might be worth 40% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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