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To buy and hold CNH Industrial stock, an investor needs to believe that the company can regain momentum in its core North American ag equipment market while capitalizing on ongoing innovation and continued operational discipline. The recent North American launch of the PowerStar Electro Command tractor highlights CNH's focus on technology, but given current headwinds, including weak ag demand and hefty channel inventories, this product debut is unlikely to meaningfully move near-term earnings or address the company's biggest risk: margin pressure linked to heavy discounting and possible price erosion.
Among CNH’s recent announcements, the August earnings release stands out as most relevant: while the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, it also reported continued sales and net income declines, reflecting ongoing market softness and inventory challenges that could blunt the initial impact of new product launches. For now, the PowerStar Electro Command strengthens CNH’s tech offering, but questions remain about how quickly new models can offset heavy inventory and pricing risks as demand recovers.
In contrast, the real challenge for CNH shareholders is how persistent channel destocking and inventory overhang could …
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CNH Industrial's outlook anticipates $18.7 billion in revenue and $1.5 billion in earnings by 2028. This is based on a projected annual revenue growth rate of 1.2% and an earnings increase of $677 million from current earnings of $823 million.
Uncover how CNH Industrial's forecasts yield a $15.14 fair value, a 22% upside to its current price.
Five community members from Simply Wall St estimate CNH's fair value spans US$4.92 to US$19.59 per share, showing high disagreement. Amid this spread, keep in mind that aggressive recent product rollouts may take time to ease inventory risks or boost sales, so consider multiple viewpoints before making decisions.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on CNH Industrial - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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