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To be a long-term shareholder in PHINIA, you need faith in the company’s ability to execute a transition from its core internal combustion engine (ICE) segments to more diversified technologies, particularly alternative fuels and aerospace. The recent earnings momentum and analyst upgrades are encouraging for sentiment, but these do not fundamentally change the short-term catalyst: whether PHINIA’s growing presence in alternative fuel systems can offset its ICE dependence. The most immediate risk remains customer concentration, especially exposure to legacy automotive OEMs and related product recalls.
One relevant recent announcement is PHINIA’s revised 2025 earnings guidance, projecting net sales between US$3.33 billion and US$3.43 billion and net earnings of US$140 million to US$170 million. This upgraded guidance reflects increased optimism around operational execution and solidifies the importance of new business wins and margin expansion efforts as key short-term drivers. While analyst momentum supports confidence, the pace of revenue diversification will remain critical to PHINIA’s story.
By contrast, investors should be aware of the outsized impact a major OEM recall or shift away from ICE could have on...
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PHINIA's outlook anticipates $3.6 billion in revenue and $246.8 million in earnings by 2028. This is based on a projected 2.3% annual revenue growth rate and a $138.8 million increase in earnings from the current $108.0 million.
Uncover how PHINIA's forecasts yield a $56.00 fair value, in line with its current price.
Fair value estimates from 2 Simply Wall St Community members span a wide range, from US$56.00 to US$103.36. With PHINIA’s operational momentum drawing attention, consider how customer dependence could shape future results before deciding for yourself.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on PHINIA - why the stock might be worth as much as 84% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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