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To be a Marriott Vacations Worldwide shareholder, you need belief in the long-term staying power of vacation ownership and the company’s ability to expand its reach and maintain profitability as consumer preferences evolve. The latest earnings report showed strong year-over-year growth in profits and sales, but the reaffirmed full-year guidance suggests the results do not materially change the near-term catalyst, the ongoing lift from first-time buyer momentum. The main risk remains a potential slowdown in owner sales and declining value per guest, neither of which appear to be immediately impacted by this quarter’s news.
Among recent company announcements, the reiteration of full-year 2025 sales guidance stands out as most relevant. Despite the surge in quarterly net income and positive earnings trends, steady guidance signals that management expects trends to persist but is not willing to raise expectations, underscoring a measured approach as the company targets long-term growth while monitoring changing consumer behaviors.
In contrast to the current upbeat performance, investors should be aware that sustained weakness in owner upgrades could...
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Marriott Vacations Worldwide's narrative projects $6.3 billion in revenue and $346.8 million in earnings by 2028. This requires a 23.2% yearly revenue growth and a $87.8 million earnings increase from $259.0 million today.
Uncover how Marriott Vacations Worldwide's forecasts yield a $91.10 fair value, a 24% upside to its current price.
Simply Wall St Community members submitted six fair value estimates, spanning from US$82.02 to an outlier of US$72,680.55. While opinions on future value vary widely, first-time buyer growth continues to act as a pillar for potential revenue gains, highlighting how individual outlooks can diverge when considering Marriott Vacations Worldwide's long-term prospects.
Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Marriott Vacations Worldwide - why the stock might be a potential multi-bagger!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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