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To be a shareholder in Applied Digital, you need to believe in the company's ability to capture long-term growth through AI and digital infrastructure, even as near-term losses persist. The latest financial results, showing rising revenue but widening annual losses, do not materially impact the most important short-term catalyst, which remains the execution of long-term lease agreements with hyperscaler clients, nor do they significantly alter the most pressing risk of heavy capital requirements and financial leverage. However, continued bottom-line pressure keeps a spotlight on Applied Digital’s ability to achieve scale while managing expanding costs and debt.
Among recent announcements, the two 15-year lease agreements with CoreWeave, which represent approximately US$7 billion in contracted revenue, are especially relevant. This development directly underpins the company’s strategy to build recurring, multi-year revenue streams and address customer concentration, providing increased visibility into growth at a time when financial performance is under close scrutiny.
By contrast, investors should be aware of the impact that substantial capital expenditure and rising debt might have if future customer growth slows or large contracts are lost...
Read the full narrative on Applied Digital (it's free!)
Applied Digital's narrative projects $755.7 million revenue and $102.2 million earnings by 2028. This requires 73.7% yearly revenue growth and a $263.2 million increase in earnings from -$161.0 million.
Uncover how Applied Digital's forecasts yield a $17.22 fair value, a 15% upside to its current price.
Twenty-seven members of the Simply Wall St Community estimate fair value in a wide range from US$2.06 to US$20 per share. While many see substantial growth potential from recent hyperscaler partnerships, views differ sharply on the effect of ongoing operating losses and high balance sheet leverage.
Explore 27 other fair value estimates on Applied Digital - why the stock might be worth as much as 34% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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