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To be a shareholder in American Express, you need to believe in the company's ability to leverage its premium brand and global partnerships to drive superior fee-based revenue and maintain strong customer loyalty, even as competition in the premium card segment intensifies. The recent AEG partnership expands Amex's reach in live entertainment, reinforcing its brand value among high-spending cardmembers. However, this development does not materially alter the most important short-term catalyst, ongoing product refreshes and premium card retention, or offset the biggest current risk from escalating competition and acquisition costs.
The most relevant announcement in context is the rumored Apple Card portfolio acquisition, in which Amex was a contender but may fall behind JPMorgan. While this decision's immediate impact is limited, it highlights the ongoing competition for affluent, high-velocity spenders, a key battleground underpinning both the company's short-term growth and long-term differentiation goals.
By contrast, it’s worth noting that investors should be aware that while Amex’s brand is deeply embedded at the top of the market, the shift toward digital wallets and real-time payment alternatives...
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American Express’ outlook anticipates $85.7 billion in revenue and $13.5 billion in earnings by 2028. This is based on a projected annual revenue growth rate of 10.6% and an earnings increase of $3.5 billion from current earnings of $10.0 billion.
Uncover how American Express' forecasts yield a $323.14 fair value, a 7% upside to its current price.
The most optimistic analysts saw American Express hitting US$85 billion in revenue and US$14.7 billion in earnings by 2028, expecting tech-driven growth from younger and international consumers to offset disruption risks. Your opinion could be very different, especially as new digital payment challenges and partnerships may alter the path ahead, exploring multiple viewpoints is essential.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on American Express - why the stock might be worth 10% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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