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To own shares in Silicon Motion, investors need confidence in continued demand growth for high-performance storage driven by AI, data centers, and edge computing, as well as the company’s ability to sustain its technology leadership in NAND controllers. While the recent unveiling of AI-focused SSD controllers and expanded partnerships underscores commitment to this theme, this news does not materially change the key short-term catalyst: execution on AI storage design wins and scaling enterprise adoption. However, persistent margin pressure from sector competition remains a significant risk.
Among recent company actions, the reaffirmed Q3 and full-year 2025 guidance stands out. Management is maintaining its target of a US$1 billion revenue run rate, highlighting their conviction in growth drivers such as AI, next-gen SSDs, and enterprise design wins. These operational targets align closely with the demand surge the new MonTitan controllers are built to address.
But with competitive pricing still weighing on margins, investors should also be alert to the possibility that sustained revenue growth may not be enough if...
Read the full narrative on Silicon Motion Technology (it's free!)
Silicon Motion Technology's narrative projects $1.2 billion in revenue and $196.6 million in earnings by 2028. This requires 14.7% yearly revenue growth and a $118.4 million increase in earnings from $78.2 million today.
Uncover how Silicon Motion Technology's forecasts yield a $93.30 fair value, a 22% upside to its current price.
Seven fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span US$42.67 to US$93.30 per share. With the expanding AI storage market as a core catalyst, you can see how expectations about future performance can vary significantly among participants.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Silicon Motion Technology - why the stock might be worth 44% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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