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How Analyst Optimism for Medtronic’s (MDT) Earnings Has Changed Its Investment Story
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  • Medtronic recently saw increased analyst optimism ahead of its upcoming August 19 earnings report, supported by a history of outperforming consensus estimates and a positive earnings scorecard.
  • This heightened outlook comes as analysts project flat earnings growth year-over-year alongside a revenue increase of about 5.7%, drawing attention to any forecast changes that could influence sentiment.
  • We'll review how growing bullishness from analysts, driven by Medtronic's trend of beating earnings expectations, may impact its investment outlook.

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Medtronic Investment Narrative Recap

Owning Medtronic means believing in the ongoing appeal and long-term growth opportunities of the global medtech sector, with a particular focus on cardiovascular innovation and expanding international reach. The company's recent share price resilience and bullish analyst sentiment ahead of its August 19 earnings highlight confidence in its ability to deliver on revenue growth, though the short-term catalyst remains its earnings report, while distributor-related sales risks still cloud visibility. Neither appears dramatically altered by the latest news, but both remain central for shareholders heading into earnings.

Of the recent announcements, Medtronic’s reaffirmed revenue growth guidance for fiscal 2026 stands out, as it echoes the analyst expectations driving recent optimism. This consistency supports positive sentiment but also raises the stakes for the upcoming earnings report to align with these forecasts, especially given lingering operational risks tied to distributor relationships and foreign exchange headwinds.

Yet, investors should not overlook, in contrast, how shifts in US distributor dynamics could abruptly affect forecasts if...

Read the full narrative on Medtronic (it's free!)

Medtronic's narrative projects $38.9 billion in revenue and $6.1 billion in earnings by 2028. This requires 5.1% yearly revenue growth and a $1.4 billion earnings increase from the current $4.7 billion.

Uncover how Medtronic's forecasts yield a $96.78 fair value, a 4% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

MDT Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025
MDT Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025

Seven individual fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community fall between US$82.66 and US$96.78 per share. Some see higher growth potential tied to Medtronic’s cardiac and surgical platforms, but distributor issues highlighted in recent company updates remind us that outlooks can shift quickly, explore the range for a fuller understanding of these diverging views.

Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Medtronic - why the stock might be worth as much as $96.78!

Build Your Own Medtronic Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.
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