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To be a shareholder in Bread Financial Holdings, you need to believe in its ability to enhance operational efficiency and drive earnings through technology investments and cost optimization, even as it faces headwinds such as flat to declining average loan growth and rising competition. The recent early tenders for its senior and subordinated notes demonstrate Bread Financial’s push to optimize funding costs, but this action does not materially impact the primary short-term catalyst, which remains improvements in credit metrics and prudent balance sheet management. The biggest immediate risk still centers on pressures from structurally lower average loan yields due to the company’s shift toward higher-quality customers, the early note repurchases do little to offset the broader risk of shrinking net interest margins.
Bread Financial’s most relevant recent announcement was its revised guidance for a flat revenue outlook and adjusted net loss rate for 2025. This guidance highlights management’s ongoing focus on credit risk controls and careful expense management, which complements the debt reduction efforts by signaling a measured approach to sustaining earnings and weathering credit quality normalization. Yet, as the company continues to tighten credit standards and encounters an evolving customer mix, these efforts reinforce the importance of balancing growth and risk.
However, investors should also be aware that, despite these positive funding actions, the potential impact of rising competition on future partnership economics remains a meaningful risk…
Read the full narrative on Bread Financial Holdings (it's free!)
Bread Financial Holdings' narrative projects $4.3 billion in revenue and $379.5 million in earnings by 2028. This requires 20.3% annual revenue growth and an $89.5 million earnings increase from current earnings of $290.0 million.
Uncover how Bread Financial Holdings' forecasts yield a $68.73 fair value, a 18% upside to its current price.
Simply Wall St Community members provided two fair value estimates for Bread Financial ranging from US$59 to US$68.73 per share. While these perspectives vary, remember, evolving credit yields and margin pressures could influence earnings and invite even broader outlooks, browse alternative takes to inform your view.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Bread Financial Holdings - why the stock might be worth just $59.00!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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