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To be a shareholder in Sherwin-Williams, you have to believe in its ability to leverage its extensive store network and customer relationships to drive steady, long-term earnings growth, even as parts of its core architectural markets remain soft. While the recent US$1.5 billion senior subordinated note offerings are substantial, this move does not materially alter the immediate catalyst influencing the stock: a potential recovery in new residential construction and professional contractor demand. The biggest risk remains persistent weakness in these end markets, which could continue to weigh on volume and margins in the near term.
Of the company’s recent announcements, the filing of a shelf registration for debt securities stands out as especially relevant. This gives Sherwin-Williams added flexibility to access new capital if conditions in its end markets improve or if acquisition opportunities arise. However, this does not impact the central catalysts of market demand and operational execution that investors are currently watching. In contrast to capital flexibility, the company’s earnings outlook is still most sensitive to ongoing supply-demand imbalances...
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Sherwin-Williams’ outlook anticipates $26.2 billion in revenue and $3.4 billion in earnings by 2028. Achieving this forecast calls for 4.4% annual revenue growth and a $0.9 billion increase in earnings from the current $2.5 billion level.
Uncover how Sherwin-Williams' forecasts yield a $374.81 fair value, a 6% upside to its current price.
Some of the most optimistic analysts expect Sherwin-Williams revenues to reach US$26.8 billion by 2028, thanks to aggressive investments and innovation in eco-friendly coatings. Compared to the baseline view, these forecasts assume higher growth and margin expansion, but both perspectives could shift depending on how recent funding decisions influence future performance. It’s worth considering how different forecasts can be before making up your mind.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Sherwin-Williams - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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