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Will Ingevity’s (NGVT) Raised EBITDA Guidance Offset Sale Declines and Impairment Concerns?
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  • Ingevity Corporation reported second quarter 2025 results with sales of US$365.1 million, a decrease from US$390.6 million a year earlier, and a net loss of US$146.5 million that included a significant non-cash goodwill impairment charge in its Advanced Polymer Technologies segment.
  • Despite the weaker headline figures, adjusted earnings increased by 39%, and management raised the low end of its adjusted EBITDA guidance while emphasizing improved margins and stable free cash flow.
  • We’ll explore how management’s decision to raise EBITDA guidance despite sales declines and impairment charges shapes Ingevity’s investment narrative.

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Ingevity Investment Narrative Recap

To be an Ingevity shareholder, you need conviction in the company’s ability to drive higher profitability and more stable cash flow through portfolio repositioning and operational improvements, despite ongoing headwinds in Advanced Polymer Technologies and global trade uncertainty. The recent Q2 results, marked by a goodwill impairment and lower sales, do not materially change the short-term catalyst: accelerating portfolio transformation to support margin recovery. However, the biggest immediate risk remains persistent tariff disruptions and unpredictable demand in key end markets.

Among recent announcements, the board’s maintenance of full-year 2025 sales guidance at US$1.25 billion to US$1.40 billion stands out, signaling management’s confidence in the core business amid sales pressures. This steady outlook is relevant to short-term margin and portfolio catalysts, as it implies that the company expects to offset ongoing global trade challenges with internal improvements and robust cost controls.

By contrast, investors should be aware that even as Ingevity boosts adjusted guidance and keeps its sales forecast steady, unresolved trade tensions and demand weakness in industrial markets continue to...

Read the full narrative on Ingevity (it's free!)

Ingevity's narrative projects $1.5 billion revenue and $378.5 million earnings by 2028. This requires 3.1% yearly revenue growth and a $595.1 million earnings increase from the current -$216.6 million.

Uncover how Ingevity's forecasts yield a $60.50 fair value, a 20% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

NGVT Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Aug 2025
NGVT Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Aug 2025

The Simply Wall St Community’s single fair value estimate for Ingevity is US$60.50, showing limited diversity in opinion. With persistent trade and demand risks affecting earnings, it is important to consider several alternative viewpoints as you assess the company’s prospects.

Explore another fair value estimate on Ingevity - why the stock might be worth just $60.50!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.
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