The board of The Hershey Company (NYSE:HSY) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 15th of September, with investors receiving $1.37 per share. This means that the annual payment will be 2.9% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Before this announcement, Hershey was paying out 73% of earnings, but a comparatively small 70% of free cash flows. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 10.4%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 72%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
View our latest analysis for Hershey
The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from $2.14 total annually to $5.48. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.9% a year over that time. Dividends have grown at a reasonable rate over this period, and without any major cuts in the payment over time, we think this is an attractive combination as it provides a nice boost to shareholder returns.
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. We are encouraged to see that Hershey has grown earnings per share at 8.0% per year over the past five years. Recently, the company has been able to grow earnings at a decent rate, but with the payout ratio on the higher end we don't think the dividend has many prospects for growth.
Overall, we like to see the dividend staying consistent, and we think Hershey might even raise payments in the future. The company is easily earning enough to cover its dividend payments and it is great to see that these earnings are being translated into cash flow. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Hershey that you should be aware of before investing. Is Hershey not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.