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Can NewMarket’s (NEU) Earnings Resilience Offset Softer Sales in a Shifting Market?
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  • NewMarket Corporation recently reported its second-quarter 2025 results, showing sales of US$698.51 million and net income of US$111.24 million, both slightly lower than a year ago, but with earnings per share rising to US$11.84.
  • This stable profitability, despite a marginal decrease in sales, highlights the company's ability to sustain earnings in a challenging market.
  • We’ll explore how NewMarket’s resilience in maintaining solid earnings despite softer sales shapes its investment narrative going forward.

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What Is NewMarket's Investment Narrative?

To believe in NewMarket as a shareholder, it’s important to focus on the company’s proven ability to deliver stable earnings in mixed market conditions. The recent second-quarter results, while showing sales and net income just below last year’s levels, demonstrated that NewMarket continues to translate even modest revenues into increased earnings per share, supported by solid net profit margins and cost control. This kind of earnings resilience, coupled with an attractive dividend and ongoing share buybacks, has been key to the investment story here. Based on the muted reaction in NewMarket’s share price after the quarterly update, the slight dip in sales doesn’t signal a meaningful shift in short-term catalysts or the overall risk profile. The biggest concerns still appear to be high debt levels and any future swings in chemical demand, which could affect the company’s ability to maintain profit margins. On balance, this earnings update fits the pattern of steady financial performance, which may help soothe immediate worries about operational volatility, though any reversal in industry demand remains the issue to watch.

However, elevated debt is still a risk that investors should keep in mind.

Despite retreating, NewMarket's shares might still be trading above their fair value and there could be some more downside. Discover how much.

Exploring Other Perspectives

NEU Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Aug 2025
NEU Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Aug 2025
The Simply Wall St Community submitted two distinct fair value estimates for NewMarket, spanning from US$739.86 up to an impressive US$1,650.21. While these perspectives illustrate just how differently NewMarket’s outlook can be weighed, the issue of high debt highlighted earlier may impact how each investor assesses the company’s resilience going forward. You’ll find opinion really varies, explore these and more insights from the community.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on NewMarket - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Build Your Own NewMarket Narrative

Disagree with this assessment? Create your own narrative in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.
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