To be a Marriott International shareholder, I believe you need confidence in the company's ability to grow its branded portfolio and tap into both upscale and midscale segments worldwide, particularly in regions experiencing rapid tourism development. The recent El Salvador agreement highlights Marriott's push into affordable hotels, but it likely doesn't materially impact the most important short-term catalyst: maintaining strong occupancy and revenue growth amid macroeconomic headwinds. The main immediate risk, potentially softer U.S. hotel demand due to consumer uncertainty, remains unchanged by this announcement.
Among recent announcements, the debut of City Express by Marriott in the U.S. stands out and directly relates to the brand's expansion into El Salvador. Both moves reinforce Marriott's commitment to the midscale segment at a time when the development pipeline is crucial to sustaining long-term revenue. While these expansion efforts bolster Marriott's room growth, they cannot fully offset potential economic risks in its core markets.
However, investors should be aware that even as Marriott expands in new markets and segments, the risk from unpredictable U.S. consumer demand...
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Marriott International's narrative projects $29.4 billion in revenue and $3.4 billion in earnings by 2028. This requires a yearly revenue growth of 63.8% and a 36% earnings increase from the current earnings of $2.5 billion.
The Simply Wall St Community includes 5 unique fair value estimates for Marriott shares, ranging from US$190.78 to US$273.29. While some foresee substantial upside, others point to current economic risks which could limit the near-term impact of Marriott's development pipeline.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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