There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Marriott Vacations Worldwide (NYSE:VAC), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Marriott Vacations Worldwide:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.06 = US$525m ÷ (US$9.9b - US$1.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).
So, Marriott Vacations Worldwide has an ROCE of 6.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Hospitality industry average of 10%.
Check out our latest analysis for Marriott Vacations Worldwide
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Marriott Vacations Worldwide compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide for free.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
Over the past five years, Marriott Vacations Worldwide's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Marriott Vacations Worldwide doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time. This probably explains why Marriott Vacations Worldwide is paying out 41% of its income to shareholders in the form of dividends. Given the business isn't reinvesting in itself, it makes sense to distribute a portion of earnings among shareholders.
In Conclusion...
In a nutshell, Marriott Vacations Worldwide has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. Additionally, the stock's total return to shareholders over the last five years has been flat, which isn't too surprising. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
If you'd like to know more about Marriott Vacations Worldwide, we've spotted 2 warning signs, and 1 of them is significant.
While Marriott Vacations Worldwide isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.