Flat Glass Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:6865) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 34% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 58% share price decline.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 10x, you may still consider Flat Glass Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 18.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Flat Glass Group could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Flat Glass Group
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
Flat Glass Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 65%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 56% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 34% per annum during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 14% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Flat Glass Group is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Even after such a strong price drop, Flat Glass Group's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Flat Glass Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Flat Glass Group that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.