It's been a pretty great week for Blue Moon Group Holdings Limited (HKG:6993) shareholders, with its shares surging 11% to HK$3.40 in the week since its latest yearly results. Revenues were in line with expectations, at HK$8.6b, while statutory losses ballooned to HK$0.14 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Blue Moon Group Holdings' four analysts is for revenues of HK$9.65b in 2025. This would reflect a meaningful 13% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Earnings are expected to improve, with Blue Moon Group Holdings forecast to report a statutory profit of HK$0.07 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of HK$9.64b and earnings per share (EPS) of HK$0.057 in 2025. There was no real change to the revenue estimates, but the analysts do seem more bullish on earnings, given the considerable lift to earnings per share expectations following these results.
View our latest analysis for Blue Moon Group Holdings
The consensus price target was unchanged at HK$2.44, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Blue Moon Group Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at HK$3.40 and the most bearish at HK$1.83 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Blue Moon Group Holdings' growth to accelerate, with the forecast 13% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 3.7% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 6.3% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Blue Moon Group Holdings is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Blue Moon Group Holdings' earnings potential next year. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Blue Moon Group Holdings going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..
You still need to take note of risks, for example - Blue Moon Group Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.