The board of Haitian International Holdings Limited (HKG:1882) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of CN¥0.73 on the 11th of April, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This makes the dividend yield about the same as the industry average at 3.3%.
Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Prior to this announcement, Haitian International Holdings' dividend was only 36% of earnings, however it was paying out 104% of free cash flows. A cash payout ratio this high could put the dividend under pressure and force the company to reduce it in the future if it were to run into tough times.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 28.1% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 32%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
See our latest analysis for Haitian International Holdings
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from CN¥0.256 total annually to CN¥0.679. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 10% over that duration. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's encouraging to see that Haitian International Holdings has been growing its earnings per share at 12% a year over the past five years. A low payout ratio and decent growth suggests that the company is reinvesting well, and it also has plenty of room to increase the dividend over time.
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Haitian International Holdings will make a great income stock. While Haitian International Holdings is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Haitian International Holdings that investors should take into consideration. Is Haitian International Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.