There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating Hebei Yichen Industrial Group (HKG:1596), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.022 = CN¥58m ÷ (CN¥3.5b - CN¥807m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, Hebei Yichen Industrial Group has an ROCE of 2.2%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Machinery industry average of 9.0%.
Check out our latest analysis for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Hebei Yichen Industrial Group.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Hebei Yichen Industrial Group Tell Us?
In terms of Hebei Yichen Industrial Group's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 7.7%, but since then they've fallen to 2.2%. However it looks like Hebei Yichen Industrial Group might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
The Key Takeaway
To conclude, we've found that Hebei Yichen Industrial Group is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 41% in the last five years. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
Hebei Yichen Industrial Group does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group that you might be interested in.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.