It is a pleasure to report that the Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures Limited (HKG:1442) is up 54% in the last quarter. But the last three years have seen a terrible decline. In that time the share price has melted like a snowball in the desert, down 80%. So it sure is nice to see a bit of an improvement. But the more important question is whether the underlying business can justify a higher price still.
On a more encouraging note the company has added HK$72m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the three-year loss for shareholders.
View our latest analysis for Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 12% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 41% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
A Different Perspective
Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures shareholders are down 23% for the year, but the market itself is up 35%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 1.6%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures .
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.