David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Kingboard Holdings Limited (HKG:148) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Kingboard Holdings
What Is Kingboard Holdings's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Kingboard Holdings had HK$23.2b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have HK$11.3b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$11.9b.
How Healthy Is Kingboard Holdings' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Kingboard Holdings had liabilities of HK$19.8b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$15.0b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$11.3b as well as receivables valued at HK$12.7b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$10.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Kingboard Holdings has a market capitalization of HK$20.9b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Kingboard Holdings's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.8 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 4.7 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. We saw Kingboard Holdings grow its EBIT by 2.5% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kingboard Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Kingboard Holdings recorded free cash flow of 37% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
While Kingboard Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us cautious about it, its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities is no better. But its not so bad at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,. We think that Kingboard Holdings's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Kingboard Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is significant...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.