Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Sa Sa International Holdings Limited's (HKG:178) lackluster earnings report last week. We did some digging, and we believe the earnings are stronger than they seem.
See our latest analysis for Sa Sa International Holdings
Zooming In On Sa Sa International Holdings' Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Sa Sa International Holdings has an accrual ratio of -0.58 for the year to September 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of HK$656m, well over the HK$148.9m it reported in profit. Sa Sa International Holdings shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Sa Sa International Holdings' Profit Performance
Happily for shareholders, Sa Sa International Holdings produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Sa Sa International Holdings' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Sa Sa International Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Sa Sa International Holdings has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Sa Sa International Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.