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Be Wary Of Leader Education (HKG:1449) And Its Returns On Capital
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating Leader Education (HKG:1449), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Leader Education, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.037 = CN¥58m ÷ (CN¥2.3b - CN¥728m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to February 2024).

Thus, Leader Education has an ROCE of 3.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Consumer Services industry average of 12%.

Check out our latest analysis for Leader Education

roce
SEHK:1449 Return on Capital Employed September 30th 2024

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Leader Education's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Leader Education has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Leader Education's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Can We Tell From Leader Education's ROCE Trend?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Leader Education doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 5.6% over the last five years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

The Key Takeaway

In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Leader Education is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 19% in the last three years. So we think it'd be worthwhile to look further into this stock given the trends look encouraging.

One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with Leader Education (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.
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