To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Winox Holdings (HKG:6838) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Winox Holdings:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.065 = HK$65m ÷ (HK$1.2b - HK$181m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
So, Winox Holdings has an ROCE of 6.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Luxury industry average of 11%.
Check out our latest analysis for Winox Holdings
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Winox Holdings' past further, check out this free graph covering Winox Holdings' past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Can We Tell From Winox Holdings' ROCE Trend?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Winox Holdings doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 6.5% from 24% five years ago. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
What We Can Learn From Winox Holdings' ROCE
We're a bit apprehensive about Winox Holdings because despite more capital being deployed in the business, returns on that capital and sales have both fallen. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 61% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Winox Holdings does come with some risks though, we found 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
While Winox Holdings may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.