MEGAIN Holding (Cayman) Co., Ltd. (HKG:6939) has announced that on 28th of June, it will be paying a dividend ofCN¥0.0197, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. However, the dividend yield of 3.0% still remains in a typical range for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for MEGAIN Holding (Cayman)
Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Based on the last payment, MEGAIN Holding (Cayman)'s earnings were much higher than the dividend, but it wasn't converting those earnings into cash flow. No cash flows could definitely make returning cash to shareholders difficult, or at least mean the balance sheet will come under pressure.
EPS is set to fall by 16.4% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 53%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.
Looking back, the company hasn't been paying the most consistent dividend, but with such a short dividend history it could be too early to draw solid conclusions. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CN¥0.0111 in 2021 to the most recent total annual payment of CN¥0.0179. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 17% a year over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Over the past three years, it looks as though MEGAIN Holding (Cayman)'s EPS has declined at around 16% a year. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in.
Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 4 warning signs for MEGAIN Holding (Cayman) (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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